Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.453182 0.502243 0.555061 0.616258 0.685347 0.761082 0.850596
2025-05-18 0.376846 0.444957 0.523816 0.622341 0.742797 0.886103 1.070732
2025-05-25 0.324433 0.399090 0.489727 0.608772 0.762349 0.955608 1.220077
2025-06-01 0.296047 0.376623 0.478352 0.617668 0.805752 1.054103 1.412280
2025-06-08 0.268822 0.351651 0.459693 0.612950 0.828009 1.123980 1.570809
2025-06-15 0.250019 0.335320 0.449899 0.617701 0.861657 1.210499 1.760180
2025-06-22 0.229632 0.314666 0.431821 0.608233 0.872809 1.264194 1.905016
2025-06-29 0.213186 0.297936 0.417454 0.602117 0.887216 1.322633 2.061980
2025-07-06 0.193466 0.274887 0.391992 0.576925 0.869606 1.329048 2.134250
2025-07-13 0.184848 0.267350 0.388548 0.584527 0.903182 1.418706 2.354381
2025-07-20 0.176848 0.260061 0.384755 0.590940 0.934899 1.507636 2.582868
2025-07-27 0.169510 0.253200 0.380985 0.596813 0.965799 1.597503 2.822998
2025-08-03 0.161568 0.245024 0.374797 0.598575 0.990487 1.680134 3.062580
2025-08-10 0.155310 0.239104 0.371788 0.605381 1.024533 1.782933 3.354942
2025-08-17 0.145623 0.227006 0.357831 0.592181 1.021351 1.816376 3.511994
2025-08-24 0.140915 0.222736 0.356495 0.600801 1.058593 1.929559 3.848650
2025-08-31 0.134190 0.214677 0.348194 0.596231 1.070486 1.994303 4.089804
2025-09-07 0.129577 0.209883 0.345127 0.600833 1.100136 2.097076 4.428852
2025-09-14 0.123032 0.201395 0.335075 0.591662 1.101825 2.142456 4.642326
2025-09-21 0.117477 0.194314 0.327074 0.585736 1.109389 2.200688 4.893984
2025-09-28 0.109501 0.182570 0.310059 0.561329 1.077154 2.170171 4.925138
2025-10-05 0.106731 0.179932 0.309397 0.568695 1.111492 2.288925 5.346605
2025-10-12 0.103953 0.177118 0.308222 0.574908 1.143846 2.406510 5.783191